... which Washington wants to lose, considering its role in the Islamic world)—are at war? Any favoritism toward one side risks losing influence over the other. Thus, a major war between India and Pakistan could reshape diplomatic alliances and lead to a global geopolitical shift, intensifying block opposition (for instance, a China-Pakistan tandem against a potential India-U.S.-West bloc). This would deal a significant blow to the international security system, complicating an already intricate relationship ...

... announce new sanctions against Russia and countries buying Russian oil if a resolution to the conflict with Ukraine is not reached by that time. By increasing production, OPEC+ is not taking on much risk, as this is happening during a still high seasonal global demand for oil, which allows prices to react relatively weakly, argues Gromov from IEF. Furthermore, prices are supported by geopolitical factors: the U.S. signals that additional complications with Russian oil supplies are possible after August 8. The U.S. is attempting to tighten pressure on a major oil exporter—Iran, which is refusing concrete negotiations with the States,...

... redirected U.S. LNG shipments have already led to price increases for Europe, where energy costs are historically sensitive to global shifts. Higher LNG prices not only place pressure on consumers and businesses but also amplify inflationary pressures across ... ... stable gas supplies. Potential suppliers include Middle Eastern nations, North African countries, and possibly Russia, provided geopolitical tensions allow for such transactions. These relationships could provide Europe with fixed-term contracts and mitigate ...

... Capital Dynamics 1. Macroeconomic Background: Favorable Market Conditions The first half of 2025 was marked by a rapid increase in global commodity markets, moderate strengthening of the ruble, and a revival of domestic consumer demand. Against this backdrop,... ... wider audience in the CIS, this signals the sustained investment attractiveness of Russian assets even amidst sanctions and geopolitical volatility. 2. Growth Leader: Pavel Durov and the Telegram Ecosystem The absolute leader was Pavel Durov, co-founder ...

... softening restrictions for foreign investors: they are once again allowed to acquire shares in Russian companies and freely withdraw capital from the country. This move aims to stimulate international investments in the economy and venture sector, despite geopolitical conditions. It is noteworthy that émigrés from the CIS are already achieving global success, integrating into the world industry. For example, the AI startup Perplexity (founded by a Belarusian entrepreneur and based in the US) recently raised an additional funding round of approximately $100 million, bringing its valuation to ...