... Increase. The oil alliance is steadily increasing supply in the global market. In August 2025, the total production quota of the main participants in the deal has been raised by approximately 548,000 barrels per day; a comparable increase is expected in September. From April to July, restrictions have been successively eased, leading to a rise in global oil and petroleum product stocks. Decreased Demand Growth Rates. Global oil consumption growth is slowing down. The International Energy Agency (IEA) ...

... Production Increase: The oil alliance is steadily increasing supply to the market. In August 2025, the total production quota for key participants in the agreement increased by approximately 548,000 barrels per day; a comparable increase is expected in September. This continues the trend of the previous months – from April to July, restrictions were gradually eased, leading to an increase in global oil and petroleum product inventories. Slowing Demand Growth: The pace of global oil consumption is ...

... March, partial export restrictions on gasoline for independent traders were in place; now these restrictions will apply to the entire market to direct additional fuel volumes for domestic needs. If necessary, the ban may be extended until the end of September.) Increased Monitoring and Dampening Measures. Monitoring of fuel trading on exchanges has been intensified, and a dampening mechanism has been activated to limit excessive profits from fuel exports (when the export alternative exceeds the baseline ...

... factors. Growth of Exports and Import Restrictions. The reduction in import volumes due to high interest rates decreases pressure on the domestic market. Russian exporters have, on the contrary, increased currency sales by 21% in October compared to September, which supports ruble stability and reduces inflationary pressure from currency fluctuations. Increased Consumer Confidence. Reduced short-term inflation expectations (1 year) have fallen to 2.6% from 2.7% in September, indicating stabilization ...

... sanctions pressure aimed at limiting Russia's revenue from oil and petroleum product trade. Following the western coalition's decision to lower the price cap on Russian oil from $60 to $47.6 per barrel (the new "price ceiling" will take effect on September 3), Washington has adopted even tougher rhetoric. The administration of President Donald Trump is tightening compliance controls regarding sanctions and considering additional measures against buyers of Russian hydrocarbons. Recall that on August ...