... left rates unchanged, but the minutes reveal the regulator's position: if the text indicates confidence in the labor market and GDP growth amid ongoing inflation risks, this signals a potential rate hike at the next meeting. Conversely, softened rhetoric ... ... Previous months showed negative index readings (around –9 points in June), indicating a contraction in activity. The consensus forecast for July anticipated a slight rise in the index, but still within negative territory (closer to –5). The actual value ...

... energy balance of many countries, despite the global push for decarbonization. According to the International Energy Agency’s forecasts, global coal consumption in 2025 will remain near record levels and may even set a new high. Global production is expected ... ... availability of energy resources in various regions. Economic Growth and Demand. Macroeconomic indicators in key economies – GDP and industrial growth rates in China, the U.S., Europe, and India – will determine the dynamics of consumption of oil, gas,...

... new sanctions. These sanctions will impact not only companies but also investors from different corners of the globe. Expert Forecasts The trade war has already had a negative effect on the market. Quotes are showing a downward trend. Mixed signals only ... ... Additionally, strategies are influenced by the increasing global debt burden. Since the last global crisis, debt relative to GDP has increased by nearly 30%. This is a significant figure, constituting over 15% of total indebtedness. Developing economies ...

... of the year, analysts previously predicted a surplus of oil amid slowing demand growth. According to OPEC's July estimates, global oil demand is expected to increase by only 1.3 million b/d in 2025, lower than the rates of 2024. Additionally, the IMF forecasts a slowdown in the global economy, including a GDP growth rate of about ~4% for China (the largest oil importer) in 2025. However, on the supply side, increases are not happening as rapidly as expected. OPEC+ countries are restoring production more slowly than the announced schedule: instead of the ...

... trends. Focus is on the pace of economic growth in China, which has noticeably slowed down. According to official data, China's GDP growth in Q2 was around 5.2% year-on-year, slowing after a higher start to the year. Key reasons include cautious behavior ... ... limited by signs of slowing global economic growth. Mixed macroeconomic statistics from the US and cooling in China lead to forecasts of only moderate increases in raw material demand in the second half of the year. Many analysts remain cautious: estimates ...