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High Interest Rates and Revoked Licenses: What Awaits the Russian Banking Sector?
... oversight.
Market Consolidation:
It is likely that small and medium-sized banks will begin to liquidate their assets or merge with larger players. The decline in revenues may lead to the emergence of larger banking holdings capable of managing high interest rates and capital burdens.
Decrease in Credit Activity:
In a high-rate environment, banks will be unable to actively increase lending volumes, limiting their growth potential. Meanwhile, demand for loans, especially mortgages, will decline, which will also hurt the banking sector....
Wednesday, November 27, 2024: Analysis of Key Events and Reports
... indicate economic growth, influencing demand for European goods and services.
22:00 GMT: USA – FOMC Meeting Minutes Release
The minutes from the Federal Reserve's meeting contain information about plans to change interest rates. If the Fed plans to raise rates, it could strengthen the dollar and lower oil prices, impacting European exporters and global markets.
00:30 GMT (November 28): USA – API Weekly Crude Oil Stock Report
Changes in oil inventories can affect global oil prices. A decrease in inventories usually leads to higher prices, which is important for energy markets in both Europe and the U.S.
ECB Representative Speech: McCaul
Statements from a European Central Bank representative may contain hints about monetary policy,...
Economic News August 3, 2025 — Fed Rate Cut, Apple and Meta Reports, Gold Price Increase
... remains – negotiations between the U.S. and China as well as other partners are ongoing, and European businesses are still accounting for the possibility of new barriers in the future. The eurozone economy stagnated in Q2 (~+0.1% q/q), and inflation decreased to ~3% (core ~3.5%). The European Central Bank maintained its rate on July 24 and indicated that the tightening cycle may soon conclude. The ECB's softened rhetoric has led to a slight dip in bond yields and a strengthening of the euro. The DAX, CAC40, and FTSE100 indices gained slightly over the week – the easing ...
What will be the ruble to dollar exchange rate at the end of the year?
... dollar, relying on high interest rates in Russia, which make the ruble attractive for short-term investments. However, factors such as sanctions and international instability may increase pressure on the ruble.
Independent analysts suggest the exchange rate in the range of 98-100 rubles per dollar if demand for Russian export goods decreases and sanctions are strengthened. In such a scenario, the ruble will come under additional pressure.
Key factors affecting the ruble to dollar exchange rate:
Oil prices: Since Russia is a major energy exporter, lower oil prices or lower demand ...
Economic Events and Company Earnings – Thursday, July 31, 2025: U.S. Inflation, Central Bank Rates, Reports from Apple and Amazon
... consumer spending and travel: cross-border transactions and associated income from fees have been growing steadily at double-digit rates. Investors will compare Mastercard's results with recent data from Visa: their competitor is also seeing business growth,... ... one-time income), with revenues projected around ~$11.3 billion, indicating a decline of ~3-5% year-on-year. The reason is the decrease in sales of the key oncology drug Revlimid (which faces generic competition) and certain other products. However, the ...