... interventions by the European Central Bank. 19:00 (MSK): Russia – GDP Data for Q3 2024 Although focused on Russia, the Q3 GDP data is an important marker for global energy and commodity markets. It reflects how one of the world’s largest exporters of oil and gas is navigating inflation, sanctions, and shifting trade dynamics. A strong reading may indicate resilience in resource-heavy sectors, while a decline could signal broader challenges in energy supply chains. 20:00 (MSK): Baker Hughes Rig Count Data The Baker Hughes report provides ...

... AI-95, though it accounts for only about 40% of exchange sales. Gusev highlights the need to separate AI-92 and AI-95 in regulatory mandates, as current rules combine all grades, leading to disparities. According to Sergey Tereshkin, CEO of the Open Oil Market platform, the faster price growth for AI-98 and above is tied to infrastructure damage at refineries, specifically to high-octane fuel production facilities. Sanctions on equipment imports mean it will take a long time to address this issue. As a result, annual price growth for gasoline in 2024 is expected to exceed inflation rates, even with seasonal adjustments. Gusev disagrees, asserting that retail ...

... forecasts of moderate demand for energy carriers in the second half of the year. Many investment banks maintain a cautious forecast for Brent at year-end—around $60 per barrel—expecting that risk of weak demand will again come to the forefront. Thus, oil prices are balancing between supply-reducing factors (voluntary production limits from OPEC+ countries and sanctions against Russia) and signs of weakening fuel consumption. Gold, meanwhile, continues to hold near historical highs, although its price corrected downwards from peaks at the end of the week. The spot price of gold, following a strong jump in the ...

... devaluation in Russia In 2024, Russia faced a number of factors that contributed to the weakening of the ruble. These factors included sanctions that limited access to international markets, high inflation, and a budget deficit. In response, the Central Bank raised ... ... with sharp changes in the exchange rate. The impact of devaluation on the economy and business: a view from the founder of Open Oil Market Devaluation is a serious test for both businesses and ordinary citizens. As an entrepreneur, I understand that a weak ...

... However, from the available data, it is clear that the total production of petroleum products in Russia declined by 2.4% (year on year) in the first 11 months of 2024. The situation with fuel production is unlikely to improve in the coming months due to sanctions on the supply of equipment for oil refineries (NPZs). Therefore, the gasoline market will continue to face risks of shortages, according to Tereshkin. Changes in tax legislation could also influence fuel price dynamics in the domestic market. For example, at the end of 2024, the ...