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ISM Services PMI Beats Forecast; S&P 500 Rises as Fed Remains Cautious
... and Peers Remain Vigilant
The April ISM data arrives at a crucial time for central bankers. For the Fed, the combination of steady growth and elevated price readings in the service sector presents a policy dilemma. On one hand, the lack of any severe economic slowdown gives the Fed room to pause and assess incoming data rather than rush into rate cuts. On the other hand, the sticky inflation signals from the services PMI reinforce the case for remaining cautious and potentially keeping interest rates at a restrictive level until there is clearer evidence that inflation ...
Monday, December 9, 2024: Analysis of Key Events and Reports
... expect a 4.6% increase in revenue due to strong demand for luxury housing. However, the market will focus on guidance amidst rising interest rates.
My Commentary on Monday’s Events
As the founder of Open Oil Market, I believe that today's macroeconomic data reflects critical global economic trends. Japan’s GDP growth slowdown highlights ongoing challenges in Asia’s recovery, which could influence global trade dynamics. Meanwhile, China’s lower CPI signals subdued domestic demand, potentially impacting global commodity flows....
Tuesday, 3 December 2024: Analysis of Key Events and Reports
... MSK: Switzerland – Consumer Price Index (CPI) for November. Changes in Switzerland's inflation levels affect the monetary policy of the Swiss National Bank and, consequently, the Swiss franc's exchange rate.
15:00 MSK: Brazil – GDP for Q3 2024. Data on GDP growth or decline provide insights into Brazil's economic health, potentially affecting investment decisions concerning emerging markets.
18:00 MSK: USA – Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) for October. This indicator reflects labor demand and can serve as a gauge of labor market conditions,...
Economic Trends in Russia: GDP Slowdown and Inflationary Challenges – What It Means for Investors
... views on the impact of macroeconomic changes on key industries and offers strategies to help investors adapt to the new reality.
Economic Trends in Russia: GDP Growth Slowdown and Inflationary Challenges — What Does This Mean for Investors?
Recent data from Rosstat and the Ministry of Economic Development indicate that economic growth in Russia slowed down in the third quarter of 2024, while inflationary pressures remain high. With GDP growth reduced to 3.1% and inflation stabilizing at 8.54% in October, the investment climate appears ...
Economic News August 3, 2025 — Fed Rate Cut, Apple and Meta Reports, Gold Price Increase
... conditions for economic revival in the second half of the year.
Commodity Markets: Oil Balance and Gold Surge
Oil is trading in a narrow range: Brent is holding around $68–69, slightly below early July levels. On one hand, expectations of a global economic slowdown and weak data from the U.S. and China are limiting crude demand. Some analysts foresee prices dropping to $60 by year-end. On the other hand, OPEC+ participants continue to cut production, preventing oversupply: Saudi Arabia has extended voluntary production cuts ...